Tuesday, July 2, 2013

Shipping Industry Confidence Rising, Study Says

Overall confidence in the shipping industry rose to its highest level in two and a half years during the three months that ended May 2013, according to a new survey by shipping adviser Moore Stephens.

According to the survey, there was evidence of increased enthusiasm for new investment, although doubts persisted about the availability of bank finance.

In May 2013, the average confidence level expressed by respondents in the markets in which they operate was 5.9 on a scale of 1to 10, compared to the figure of 5.8 recorded in the previous survey in February 2013.

It marks the highest figure since a 6.0 recorded in November 2010. The survey was launched in May 2008 with a confidence rating of 6.8.

The likelihood of survey respondents making a major investment or significant development over the next 12 months was up marginally from the previous survey. On a scale of 1 to 10, the number rose from 5.5 to 5.6 – the highest level since a 5.7 was recorded in February 2011.

Demand trends, competition and finance costs were the top three factors cited by respondents overall as those likely to influence performance most significantly over the coming year.

For demand trends, the overall numbers were down one percentage point to 22 percent; competition numbers were static at 20; and finance costs were also unchanged at 16 percent, according to Moore Stephens.

After the top three, tonnage supply was in fourth place at 12 percent, a decrease of one percentage point from the previous three month period.

The number of respondents overall who expressed an increased expectation of higher rates in the tanker sector over the next 12 months was up by two percentage points to 37 percent. For the dry bulk sector, there was a 10 percentage-point fall, from the highest figure in the life of the survey three months ago to 40 percent this time, in the overall numbers of those anticipating rate increases.

In the container ship market, there was an eight percentage-point fall in the overall numbers expecting rates to go up, to 26 percent from 34 percent.